South Park Streaming Country

BERLUSCONI IN BUNKER, THE OPPOSITION ON THE MOON

Istantanea di una crisi politica infinita che non accenna a finire.

L'Italia è un paese allo sbando. In questi giorni l'esplosione della crisi libica, che peraltro mette in luce la fragilità della politica estera berlusconiana, ha fatto passare in secondo piano le contorsioni della crisi politica nazionale, che però continua ad aggrovigliarsi su se stessa senza che se ne intravedano a breve vere vie d'uscita.

Nel generale impazzimento della politica italiana, dove i festini a «luci rosse» si intrecciano con i continui cambi di casacca a livello parlamentare, non è facile orientarsi. In condizioni «normali» Prime Minister would have already resigned from that day, in 'normal' opposition would have paralyzed the country. In 'normal' the majority party has already fired its leader, under "normal" early elections would have already carried out some time.

But we are not under normal conditions: the PDL is not a real party, but a tool in the hands of his master, the opposition knows only derived by parliamentary vote to fail, the elections are the terror of all parties, not to mention individual parliamentary Berlusconi seems more than a political leader from having a crazy dittatorello saw the inexorable path of sunset. That everything is the result of the horrendous second republic that wanted to build nearly two decades ago does not seem to be of interest to anyone - who ever is interested in similar accounts in this country? - But for this we must remember.

All of these factors describes a situation of paralysis, we do not know what will last. But after months of uncertainty is the time to take a snapshot at least, trying to fix some points, but knowing that new shocks will come soon. These points are:

1. the prospects of Berlusconi,

2. the conditions of the opposition,

3. holding the real power,

4. developments of the economic crisis,

5. signs of awakening social

6. the momentary success of left-wing populism (Vendola)

7. the path of the exodus from the political system as a way needed for the alternative.

For obvious reasons space will proceed in an extremely concise.

1. Berlusconi in the bunker.

survived by the skin of our teeth in the confidence vote on 14 December, cling to a numerical majority is based on parliamentary literally bought, affected by the investigations and judicial processes on the way, aware that they no longer even the relative majority in the country that seemed to preserve not later than one year ago, Silvio Berlusconi has decided to go down in the bunker of resistance to the bitter end. This choice has its own rationality. It 's a desperate choice - Berlusconi is still the fruit - which is however based on the weakness of others. We do not believe that this situation will last too long, but we do not be surprised if he went out for some time.

writer has made in recent months, a forecast error. Be that the prime minister would play the card at the end of elections as the only possibility to continue to govern. Charter risky, but until a few months ago certainly not absurd. The reasoning was that a majority in parliament now politically non-existent, could still be such (relatively speaking of course) at the election. Hypothesis strengthened by the chaos in the block against which it opposed the action and threatening to the polls in parliamentary possible turnaround.

In a short time, especially after the vote of 'confidence' of December 14, the picture is reversed: Berlusconi is now considered to have a slim majority even reinforced, while the elections are seen as the plague and judicial investigations incumbent . That bunker was therefore a choice in a sense forced. A sign of great weakness, but found no real opponents neither his party nor in a league increasingly breathless and without direction. Bunkers do not win wars, if you do not maintain range of motion on the surface. But if the bunker is not attacked, the stalemate can not be brief.

2. The opposition to the Moon

If the desperate resistance "Berlusconi still has a sense, this is due primarily to the absence of any real opposition. For months they have sworn, by the Democratic Party the UDC, there were the numbers in parliament for another government. It took shape "in five minutes" in accordance with the memorable phrase illustrious strategist Pier Ferdinando Casini. At the same time, however, early elections were described as a true national disaster. Today the parties are curiously reversed, and the elections that were just as curious as the numerical majority opposed by the opposition toppling the government, are now required when a majority in botched purchased and has in fact reconstituted.
Mysteries of an opposition that has fallen flat on all fronts. He renounced the mobilization in the country in the name of the operations of the palace, and when the latter went bankrupt have only been able to cling to the legal mess "puttanopoli. The fact is that so-called "opposition" MPs say they know nothing about the great economic and social issues, politics International, on the same institutional reforms - see weak opposition to "federalism", as opposed to matrix-League berlusconi ana certainly not on the substance of decrees in question. Not that the leaders of this ridiculous "opposition" does not talk about these issues. They talk about it, fewer scandals of the court Berlusconi, but when they do talk about it just to reiterate the most ironclad Atlantic, the more financial oligarchies and blind subordination to the top of the ECB, to say sir to Marchionne and Marcegaglia. So, for what little they talk about it - overwhelmed by the demands of the daily theater of "statements" from wars, by a frantic search for new parliamentary maneuvers - would be better to be quiet.

Ultimately, the opposition parties do not mobilize because they have nothing to say about the big issues that could really fill the squares. While social unrest is growing, they are turning to the country as if they were on the moon. The same positive events than women of 13 February can be attributed to a strong and true motion of Berlusconi's rejection of the vision of the woman, not the role of political parties of the center.

3. Who's in charge today in Italy?

If the front of the opposition continues to make water from all sides, it is clear, however, the extreme weakness parliamentary majority. Not so much a question of numbers, but rather for the anxiety that that the pace of the government. The fact that, once again, the scene is occupied by the judicial affairs of Berlusconi, the obsessive search for new laws safeguard premier, says a lot about the health of the government. The fact that it is now in a veritable constitutional crisis (confrontation with the judiciary, increasingly frequent tensions with the presidency of the republic), highlights the uniqueness of the current political crisis: surely the worst of Republican history.

But if this is the situation, those in power in Italy today, really? According to the traditional slow Marxism, in view of the exceptional nature of the situation, we would have expected a stronger field decreased in the dominant classes. It 's true that Marchionne said his "commandments", but only a narrowly economistic view would make us underestimate the significance of the absence of real policy initiatives by major centers of economic power. Centres that have preferred to stand at the window. Why? One answer comes from the last common card from Wikileaks and published by L'Espresso. He wrote in the national elections held in the spring of 2008 the then American ambassador, Richard Spogli, that if he won Veltroni, the thing would have been excellent if it had prevailed Berlusconi it would have been even more. The first is described as an "American" tout-court, the second as a buffoon rather disastrous for his country, but very useful on the bases, Afghanistan, Middle East policy. What is true of international choices, also applies to the economic decisions of the fund. Here, the traditional bipartisan Subo rdinazione to large financial oligarchies, combined with the now shared subordination to the dictates of the European Union, at which time you delegate, constraints, quantity and substance of the ongoing financial maneuvers.

We certainly talk about that in the coming weeks, as it is imminent the important European meeting on the issue public debt. What is useful here to note is the absence of any debate on these issues, which are also the most important for their social consequences. E 'due to a lack of bipartisan sharing European recipes. Sharing (and subordination) not only by the political spectrum, but an entire ruling class in all its ramifications.

If this is the modern Italian state, and also the answer to the question of who really controls within the framework of political and institutional chaos, that's the theme of the bully returns regaining of national sovereignty, which can only be achieved by freeing both NATO as the European Union: issues non a caso banditi da ogni pubblica discussione.

4. Eppure qualcosa si muove...

Il quadro generale non è dunque confortante. L'incendio del mondo arabo appare ancora lontano da noi, ma sarebbe sbagliato non vedere i primi segnali del risveglio sociale. Un risveglio che non avverrà in base ad uno schema ultra-semplificato classe contro classe, ma in maniera sicuramente molto più articolata. Abbiamo più volte parlato del significato degli scontri del 14 dicembre a Roma, ci siamo soffermati sulla portata della resistenza operaia nei referendum di Pomigliano e Mirafiori e sulla riuscita dello sciopero della Fiom del 28 gen naio, si è detto poc'anzi della grande mobilization of women, while another signal comes from the new vitality of important sectors of youth. It 's still a little, but the first symptoms of a social awakening there.

's still a little because in the face of heavy attack represented by Marchionni not been able so far to reach a general strike, because before that happens in North Africa and the mobilization of what was the antiwar movement seems like a zero, because in the face of the authoritarian government there is no response minimally effective.

This is not surprising. The first sparks of the social awakening could not be sufficient to ignite a prairie wet 30-year rule ideology of "we are still in best possible world." We must defeat this ideology, and this will depend on many factors, including subjective ones will be no less important than those that gives us the objectivity of the crisis. But this work of reconstruction of a program and perspective must be based on the reasonable expectation of an upcoming season of struggles.

5. Soon Europe will knock on the door ...

All the foregoing arguments take on a more precise meaning when placed in the general systemic crisis of capitalism, particularly the West. While the main indicators continue to record strong economic stagnation, with the intensification of youth unemployment and the impoverishment of significant segments of the population, time remind the centrality of the debt issue and in particular the so-called "sovereign debt."

We have already said that the issue will come back very topical in the coming days. That of the "debt" is a real weapon of mass destruction. Almost all of the West have been used to prevent the collapse of the financial system, and today that have bankrolled the banking system at no cost to use the bill to present to their peoples, with heavy financial maneuvers that go to hit the working classes, employees and retirees in the first place, but also significant areas of work, "self" is in fact more and more "official." In Italy there was a first taste with the operation was approved in July 2010. Now we are waiting for the second round, while in the meantime the initiative to Marchionne gave an even stronger sign of class during the offensive. We will see what will be the European decisions and see how they will be translated into national financial. We'll get the classic "straw that breaks the camel's back"? I do not rule out at all. If this happens, if the painful social lethargy will really end, then is the time to propose radical measures political and economic alternatives (To see an alternative to disaster - Proposals for a program phase), starting from the European Union and from Service public debt.

6. Zero proposals: the "secret" of the momentary success of Nichi Vendola

In the curious mosaic of the Italian political crisis has taken on a certain level the emergence of the picturesque piece Vendolí anus. After much insisted sull'emozionante line "or primary, or death," the Berlusconi left which is formally still governor of a region that rarely sees this, he decided the so-called "knight move" to exit the impasse in which it was expelled. Nothing, therefore, primary, election coalition enlarged the Third Pole, for an emergency government headed by Rosy Bindi. On the image plane, the only one actually deals with the move Vendola is not stupid. It, however, it highlights the strategic vacuum. Besides the proposed electoral alliance comes at a time in which the election is away, the primaries were already stored for a long time, and as Rosy Bindi was the same president of the Democratic Party to point out that the official candidate is currently Bersani.

Let's say, the temporary waiver of the primaries, the illusionist Pugliese wanted to be drawn of the mess of having to repeat endlessly as the Messiah of that we do not know. A wise tactical choice, he says now suggested by the old deflated balloon that matches the name of Fausto Bertinotti. We were in the shoes of Vendola we are concerned with advice from a similar advisor, but that's another story.

What is interesting, however, since the Messiah has certainly not abandoned its ambitions, it is the policy position that the Vendola taken with the latest moves in an even clearer. Vendola has not only firmly anchored in his personal party (Sel) in the center (which was granted), not only has offered to shore from the left the "holy alliance" that will come in the name dell'antiberlusconismo up to Fini, perhaps having the head Casini, Vendola accompanied his tactical move with absolute zero in programmatic terms. Moreover, this is nothing new, and it is this vacuum program and making it ready for any adventure by the government. A void that would fill with some cliché, with smoky talks of a "politically correct" to the left that finds its place only thanks to the absence of others (the absence of Pd on the one hand, the PRC on the other). In the present political chaos is likely that this peculiar form of left-wing populism with no content may have a momentary success. What we can rule out is that it can represent a political perspective for the medium term. About fifteen years ago he decided to delegate the representation of the left to Bertinotti, today does the same with Vendola. The media spaces that are granted must mean something. But if the former House speaker has been dropped as he fell, dragging with him his creature rainbows, I do not think that the new Rainbow Vendola can withstand the storm that promises social horizon.

7. An exodus must

We addressed Vendola because - like it or not, and we do not like - is the only living thing in the landscape of the Italian left undone. But vendolism or also refers to another issue of strategic nature. After Magri, Ingrao, Cossutta and Bertinotti Vendola is the continuer of institutionalist policy. that of the government with the center (in this case even extended to the right) at all costs. What use is subject to a social movements perspective, all internal to the institutions. Institutions which, moreover, not more than two decades ago.

But it is possible that in the face of a parliament reduced to a brothel, and not the sole responsibility of Berlusconi, does not even hint at a minimum reflection on the character taken by the institutions of this "democracy" is now rotten to the core?

We can not know the next developments in a crisis policy that sometimes occurs with dell'impazzimento characters. What we feel is to exclude any alternative that might satisfy a social policy and that he does not come to terms with the bottom the current political system, which should not be amended, is simply reversed.

is why, beyond the swirl of political quotas, it seems that the tool to advance an alternative perspective that remains popular exodus from this system. Let me be clear, the exodus can not alone be enough. Crucial will be his tangle with the resumption of social struggle, but without this exodus - highlighted by the high rate of abstention in the elections - little hope there would be.

We are reasonably optimistic, however. Many things must come to maturity so that it can open up a new socialist perspective. Many battles will be fought, and on several levels. What seems certain is that there improponibilità of the 'patch', the 'lesser evil', a reform of begging that no longer has any reform to be proposed. Even the interminable political crisis underway confirms it: the system no longer able to purify, to self-correct. Succeeds only in armored vehicles. Even for this Berlusconi has fallen in the bunker: a lack of alternatives in its majority, the parliamentary opposition.

that the exodus continues dunque!, ma non fine a se stesso, bensì come primo passo verso la sollevazione popolare. Che non è dietro l'angolo, ma che potrebbe sorprenderci tutti.

Leonardo Mazzei, Campo Antimperialista